Steel Products
January 28, 2013
SMU Fair Value Model Has Hot Rolled Coil Spot Pricing Below Fair Value for 2nd Week
Written by John Packard
This week, the SMU Fair Value HRC (hot rolled coil) Model has spot HRC pricing below Fair Value for the second week in a row after nine consecutive weeks of higher HRC prices. This is due to the SMU average spot HRC index decreasing $10 per ton to $610 per ton and scrap inputs remaining the same over last week’s figures. The Fair Value model now shows HRC prices $13 below the estimated Fair Value price.
As a reminder, the Fair Value HRC Model below came from the SMU acquisition of Steel Reality. The graph below demonstrates the relationship between scraps inputs creating an estimated “Fair Value” for HRC versus the actual spot price.



