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    As HRC Contracts Grow Questions Nag CME Traders

    Written by John Packard


    “If we all knew the direction steel prices were headed, well I wouldn’t be here with you guys….” This was how the conversation began with one of the contacts SMU made earlier this week while in New York City to attend a number of meetings surrounding the Steel Success Strategies conference.

    There were a number of comments made to SMU publisher, John Packard, as he met with various manufacturing, trading, distribution, brokers and analysts as well as steel mills, about the futures market and, in particula, r the article produced by David Feldstein of Flack Steel last Thursday (SMU June 9, 2016). It seems many steel people did not realize how poorly the hot rolled coil (HRC) forward curve on the CME has predicted future price movements (and should not be used as a predictor of HRC price movement). If you have not perused the article you may want to go back to last Thursday’s issue and do so.

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