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    Steel Products Prices North America

    CRU: Turkey’s Economic Troubles Persist, at Least Through 2019

    Written by Tim Triplett


    By the CRU Economics Team

    The Turkish economy is suffering its first recession in a decade. This has had knock-on effects on the global steel market, given Turkey’s prominence in this industry. A key question for the steel market is therefore, how long will the recession in Turkey last? We think that in the most optimistic scenario economic growth in Turkey will bottom out in 2019 and return to positive territory in 2020. But we see material risks to the downside, where the recession drags on into 2020. This insight explores the vulnerabilities that led Turkey into recession, and the risks that could prolong the pain.

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