Economy
October 28, 2020
Schultz: Turnout of Key Voters Could Decide Election
Written by Tim Triplett
The final outcome of next week’s presidential election may well boil down to the difference in turnout–in just a handful of counties in three pivotal swing states–among two key demographics: non-college-educated working class males for Trump vs. college-educated suburban women for Biden, predicts Dr. David Schultz, political analyst and professor of political science and legal studies at Hamline University in St. Paul, Minn. Schultz was the featured speaker during Steel Market Update’s Community Chat Webinar on Wednesday.
Like the last presidential election when Donald Trump prevailed over Hillary Clinton even though she won the popular vote, this election is all about the electoral college, Shultz said. Based on past history and the uneven distribution of Democrats and Republicans across the country, the outcome of the vote is nearly certain in 43 of the 50 states. That leaves just seven states where the majority vote, and the electoral win, is more difficult to predict: Arizona, Florida, Michigan, Minnesota, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
