Data on US industrial production, capacity utilization, orders and inventories continued to improve through the first half of 2022, indicating a strengthening manufacturing sector. The health of the manufacturing economy has a direct bearing on the health of the steel industry. The Industrial Production (IP) Index The IP index is a gauge of output from […]
The US economy shrank in the first quarter of 2022 at a slightly worse rate than expected, with gross domestic production declining at a -1.6% annualized pace, according to the third and final estimate from the US Commerce Department’s Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The third review for Q1 was a slight downward revision from […]
New orders for US manufactured durable goods rose more than expected in May, suggesting business investment remains resilient even in the face of deteriorating business and consumer sentiment as well as heightened fears of a recession. Last month’s bookings for durable goods rose 0.7% following a revised 0.4% decline a month earlier, according to the […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Ryan McKinley, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor, May 11 The CRUspi plunged month-on-month (MoM) in May by over 8.6%, which is the largest percentage point decline since late 2008 and the second-largest ever in terms of total fallen points. Supply chain readjustments for both sheet and steelmaking raw materials in the […]
New orders for US manufactured durable goods rebounded in March after sinking for the first time in five months in February. Last month’s bookings for durable goods rose 0.8% following a revised 1.7% decline a month earlier, according to the Commerce Department. The value of core capital goods orders – a proxy for investment in […]
Data on US industrial production, capacity utilization, new orders and inventories continue to improve. February and March 2022 reports indicate a strengthening manufacturing sector. The health of the manufacturing economy has a direct bearing on the health of the steel industry. The Industrial Production Index The IP index is a gauge of output from factories, mines […]
I shouldn’t say put a fork in this market and call it done. It’s probably too early for that. But some of the anecdotal indicators I mentioned last week are increasingly showing up in the data we and others collect. Take a look at today’s issue: Lead times are still rising, for the most part. […]
By Greg Wittbecker, Advisor, CRU Group It is natural to speculate about how well demand for aluminum can hold up given the effects of dramatically higher prices, both on aluminum itself and the broader economy. Conversations with many of our clients’ center on concerns about demand destruction. The logic is simple: With gasoline, food and interest […]
New orders for US manufactured durable goods fell 2.2%, or $6.0 billion, in February, snapping a four-month rally, according to the Commerce Department. Orders at domestic factories for long-lasting goods fell more than expected last month, while business investment fell for the first time in a year. February’s outcome suggests high inflation and ongoing supply […]
It seems all the swans are black now. First we had a pandemic. Now war. You don’t need a reminder from SMU on the terrible human suffering caused by each. When it comes to steel, the result is higher raw material costs and higher prices. Pricing levels that were unimaginable a month ago, when it […]
New orders for U.S. manufactured durable goods rose 1.6% in January, doubling earlier estimates of 0.8%, according to the Commerce Department’s report. The surprising gain came following an upward revision in December’s totals to a 1.2% gain from the prior estimate of 0.7% and represents an increase in eight of the last nine months. The […]
By Greg Wittbecker, Advisor, CRU Group Nucor and Steel Dynamics Inc. (SDI) chose to acquire major metal recycling companies just before the Global Financial Crisis. SDI purchased Omnisource for slightly more than $1 billion in November 2007. Nucor followed suit with its $1.4 billion takeover of The David J. Joseph Co. in March 2008. The […]
Durable goods orders took a slight tumble in December, slipping for the first time in three months and suggesting a pause in capital investment as the fourth quarter ended. The decline in December – down 0.9% versus the prior month – reflected a drop in orders for commercial aircraft (transportation) and communications equipment, compounded by […]
Data on U.S. industrial production, capacity utilization, new orders and inventories continued to improve throughout fourth-quarter 2021, indicating a strengthening manufacturing sector. The health of the manufacturing economy has a direct bearing on the health of the steel industry. Note that some of the historical data below has been adjusted by the U.S. Census Bureau […]
By Greg Wittbecker, Advisor, CRU Group It’s that time of year when we start looking ahead as we put the current year in our “rear view mirror.” Here are some of the things that I circulated to the CRU Aluminum Analysis team for consideration among our “top calls for 2022.” These are not officially “blessed,” […]
November was a major letdown for the U.S. labor market, which added just 210,000 jobs, though the unemployment rate ticked slightly lower. The latest data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the U.S. economy created far fewer jobs than expected in November, in a sign that hiring started to slow even ahead […]
By CRU Advisor Greg Wittbecker LME cash aluminum prices have retreated hard from new 13-year highs, falling from $3,300 last week to reach $2,682 as we completed the week. Supply-side Price Concerns Get a Reality Check but Remain Dangerous Market euphoria over supply-side constraints ran into the effect of China’s “command economy” at work. Power […]
Global steel demand will grow by 4.5% in 2021 and reach 1.855 billion metric tons following a 0.1% growth the year prior, according to World Steel Association’s (worldsteel) October 2021 Short-Range Outlook (SRO). An additional increase of 2.2% to 1.896 billion metric tons in 2022 is forecast for steel demand worldwide. The current forecast assumes […]
September saw the worst monthly performance for the U.S. labor market since January, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’ (BLS) job report. The latest data showed the economy created a stingy 194,000 new jobs in September to mark the second disappointing monthly increase in a row. The sharp dive from the 1.091 million positions […]
Steel Market Update is pleased to share this Premium content with Executive members. For information on upgrading to a Premium-level subscription, email Info@SteelMarketUpdate.com. Data on U.S. industrial production, capacity utilization, new orders and inventories continued to improve through August, indicating a strengthening manufacturing sector. The health of the manufacturing economy has a direct bearing on the […]
U.S. steel product shipments grew for the third straight month in July, up 2.8% from the prior month. Following some irregularity to start the year after bottoming out in May 2020, steel product shipments have been on a steady upward trend. Mill outages, factory curtailments, seasonal disruptions, and COVID-related closures slowed steel products’ shipments to […]
By Stephen Williamson, CRU Research Manager, Aluminum As in last week’s report, aluminum prices continue to flirt with the $3,000 per metric ton mark on the LME, $2,908/t as of this writing. However, this apparently steady price range belies a torrent of market activity. The protracted energy curtailments in China continue to cast doubt on […]
The U.S. labor market saw its worst monthly performance since January, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’ (BLS) August report. The latest data showed 235,000 new workers were added to payrolls in August, less than a quarter of the 1.053 million positions added in July. August’s employment report was a huge disappointment, nearly […]
By CRU Principal Economist Alex Tuckett and CRU Chief Economist and Head of Sustainability Jumana Saleheen, from CRU’s Global Economic Outlook The spread of the Delta variant, plus some disappointing data from the U.S., have led us to slightly revise down our forecast for 2021 GDP growth from 6.1% to 5.9%. Growth in industrial production […]
By CRU Principal Economist Alex Tuckett and CRU Chief Economist and Head of Sustainability Jumana Saleheen A disappointing outlook for U.S. Q3 growth, and the problems in China’s construction sector, have led us to downgrade our forecast for 2021 world growth from 5.8% to 5.4%. Our forecast for 2021 growth in Industrial Production has been revised […]
By CRU Principal Analyst Josh Spoores, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor Sheet prices in the U.S. Midwest market have continued to rise, though the rate of increase has slowed since the end of May. The price of HR coil has increased $21 /s.ton w/w and is now $126 /s.ton higher than our assessment on […]
The U.S. labor market saw its best monthly performance in nearly a year in July, reported the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The latest data shows a flood of 943,000 new workers added to payrolls in July, as the American economy roared into midsummer. With just under 3 million new jobs added from May through July, the […]
Orders for manufactured durable goods rose slightly in June, slowing the upward momentum seen the month prior, reported the U.S. Census Bureau. Orders for cars, appliances and other durable goods rose by 0.8% to a seasonally adjusted $257.6 billion in June, weaker than expected and much less than the 3.2% growth seen the month before. […]
NLMK USA joined the growing ranks of steelmakers posting massively higher second-quarter earnings on solid demand and record-high steel prices. The U.S. subsidiary of NLMK Group – Russia’s largest steelmaker – recorded EBITDA of $213 million in the second quarter of 2021, up more than threefold from $65 million in the first quarter and an […]
U.S. industrial production, manufacturing and durable goods orders continue to show improvement from the coronavirus pandemic downturn, indicating a strengthening manufacturing sector. The health of the manufacturing economy has a direct bearing on the health of the steel industry. Note that some of the historical data below has been adjusted by the U.S. Census Bureau […]