Expect another two months of uneasiness and confusion on the future of the economy, says Armada Corporate Intelligence Managing Director and Economist Chris Kuehl. Although a recovery is under way, its sustainability will depend on consumer attitude, potential lockdowns and the speed of a vaccine. In a FABTECH webinar this week, The New Global Normal: […]
I am hearing the U.S. Steel Gary Works #4 blast furnace will be coming back up by the end of this year. According to AIST, the #4 furnace is rated at 1,390,000 tons of pig iron annually. So, this means we will have more supply added from USS and from Big River Steel as they […]
Timing is everything–I think we will have some interesting discussions at the upcoming Steel 101: Introduction to Steel Making & Market Fundamentals Workshop to be held on Dec. 8-9. The focus of this workshop is for the attendees to learn how steel is made (EAF and Blast/BOF), rolled, qualities produced, how it is used and […]
Manufacturing activity expanded only slightly in New York during November, says the New York Federal Reserve. The Empire State Manufacturing Survey general business index fell four points to 6.3 indicating slowing growth in the region and widely missing analyst estimates of 13.5. Thirty-one percent of survey respondents reported that business conditions had improved, compared to […]
The Perfect Storm: Long lead times, late deliveries, low service center inventories, strong demand, higher prices, lack of foreign steel imports, mill outages both planned and unplanned, maximum capacity utilization rates at a number of mills, NLMK USA strike, higher ferrous scrap prices that are expected to go much higher in the coming months, restrictions […]
Trade attorney and Steel Market Update contributor Lewis Leibowitz offers the following update on events in Washington: Exchange rates make international transactions possible. If a trading partner (let’s call them Country X) could keep its exchange rate abnormally low against the U.S. dollar, its exports to the U.S. would be more competitive and sales would […]
Trade attorney and Steel Market Update contributor Lewis Leibowitz offers the following update on events in Washington: The steel tariffs were in the news recently with the announcement of a settlement of a lawsuit brought to challenge denials of exclusion requests. This is the third case, by my unofficial count, that has been settled in […]
On Wednesday, Steel Market Update reached out to Cleveland-Cliffs Chairman, President & CEO Lourenco Goncalves to get his thoughts on the market as the U.S. is about to change leadership and Cliffs is about to complete their acquisition of ArcelorMittal USA operations (except for Calvert and Dofasco in Canada). SMU: Have you congratulated President-elect Biden? […]
I am hearing negotiations on 2021 flat rolled contracts are quite contentious. OEM buyers are telling me the domestic mills are so aggressive with their pricing offers that buyers are having to look for alternative suppliers. As one manufacturing buyer put it to me yesterday, “[The steel mills are] effectively asking us to review other […]
By Tony Barnes and Andrew O. Callaghan Although the COVID-19 pandemic has caused companies in many industries to scale back various improvement projects and expansion plans, it does not appear to be slowing the adoption of advanced digital technology in the metals industry. Recent survey data, reinforced by extensive industry observation, suggests that many metals […]
Russel Metals’ third-quarter results showed steady gains from rising steel prices and improved demand as the market comes to grip with the coronavirus. Russel also rationalized some assets during the quarter and is taking steps to reduce its exposure to the volatile energy sector. “Although business conditions remain challenging, they are improving,” said Russel President […]
Mexican steelmaker Ternium’s operating rates are approaching full capacity after strong improvement in shipments and demand in the third quarter. Total steel shipments rose 16 percent from the second quarter to 2.8 million tons. Higher finished steel shipments partially offset lower slab shipments to third parties. Pricing recovered significantly from the trough in the second […]
Steel prices continued to climb in October as demand rose further on hot rolled, cold rolled and galvanized products. Steel Market Update’s hot rolled price index averaged $665 per ton in October, up nearly $100 over the previous month and up over $200 compared to August. The SMU Pricing Momentum Indicator remained at Higher, indicating […]
By CRU Principal Analyst James Campbell, from CRU’s Long Products Monitor Most long product prices around the world increased this month as the recovery in demand continues. For some markets and products, the increase in supply has been outpaced by demand. Wire rod remains the strongest product right now as the increase in construction activity […]
By CRU Prices Analyst George Pearson, from CRU’s Steel Monitor Lack of supply and higher demand is causing sheet prices to diverge further from plate across regions, with U.S. sheet prices reaching their highest level since April 2019 this week. New lockdown announcements have not had an impact on the European market at this point, […]
By CRU Principal Analyst Josh Spoores, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor The global sheet market has seen a few key trends emerge across a variety of regions. First, demand has continued to rise from the pandemic-related lows recorded earlier this year. While sheet demand continues to be driven by sequential increases in automotive demand, […]
By CRU Analyst Estelle Tran, from CRU’s Global Steel Trade Service The U.S. market is at a unique point where steel buyers could be convinced to buy imports because of extreme supply tightness. With about 7Mt of blast furnace capacity remaining idled in the U.S. and Canada, sheet mills in operation are effectively running at […]
By CRU Principal Analyst James Campbell, from CRU’s Global Steel Trade Service The recent acceleration in news of a pre-approved vaccine has led us to bring forward the economic recovery to the first half of 2021. Confidence has returned and spending is resuming. An earlier-than-expected vaccine provides upside risks to our automotive and construction outlook. […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Helen O’Cleary, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor The impact of Covid-19 restrictions on global manufacturing this year has led to the loss of ~ 700,000 t of refined zinc demand compared to our pre-Covid-19 forecasts. Smelter output has been far less impacted, despite mine supply losses, and this has led […]
By CRU Chief Economist Jumana Saleheen and Principal Economist Alex Tuckett, from CRU’s Steel Monitor In this Global Economic Outlook, we look ahead to 2021 and outline our top ten calls for the global economy. These include predictions on Covid-19 vaccines, world growth, the auto and construction sectors, the U.S. dollar, monetary and fiscal policy, […]
The ISM Manufacturing PMI exceeded expectations in October posting a score of 59.3 percent, a 3.9 percent increase from September and indicating factory growth for the fifth consecutive month. “The manufacturing economy continued its recovery in October,” said Timothy Fiore, chairman of the Institute for Supply Management Manufacturing Business Survey Committee. “Survey committee members reported that […]
The J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI reached a 29-month high in October, posting a score of 53.0. Manufacturing output expanded across consumer, intermediate and investment goods industries with the weakest sector consumer goods. Twenty of 26 countries in the survey saw manufacturing activity increase, however activity in Japan, Greece, Malaysia, Indonesia and Russia contracted last […]
Residential construction spending continues to lead nonresidential by a wide gap, said the Associated General Contractors of America. Total construction spending in September increased 0.3 percent from August to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.41 trillion. Private and public nonresidential spending fell 1.6 percent from August and 4.4 percent from a year ago. In […]
Construction is slowing, but still has positive growth driven by state and local building and infrastructure expenditures. Privately funded work is contracting. In September, construction expenditures reached an all-time high and on a three-month moving average (3MMA) basis were only slightly lower than April 2020. Steel Market Update analyzes the Commerce Department’s Construction Put in […]
Canadian steel processor Nova Steel plans to open a new tube manufacturing plant in Bowling Green, Ky. The $70 million project was announced Thursday and includes an initial investment of more than $20 million for the acquisition of a 108,000-square-foot building in the Kentucky Transpark and the purchase and installation of equipment. The plant will […]
When I look at the results of our flat rolled survey, sometimes I have to scratch my head. In the survey we just completed last week, we asked at what point hot rolled prices would peak. Sixty-two percent of our respondents believe prices will peak at $700 or lower. To them I ask, what is […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC) steel and financial futures markets was written by Jack Marshall of Crunch Risk LLC. Here is how Jack saw trading over the past week: Hot Rolled The latest hot roll production data shows that recent year-on-year figures are off by roughly 20 percent due mainly to […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC) steel and financial futures markets was written by Jack Marshall of Crunch Risk LLC. Here is how Jack saw trading over the past week: Hot Rolled In spite of the rapidly spreading Covid virus and some market concern about its potential impact on manufacturing operations, not […]
Trade attorney and Steel Market Update contributor Lewis Leibowitz offers the following update on events in Washington: This campaign, like all others, is about many issues. The economy, though, is clearly the most powerful message of the Trump campaign. Over the last century or so, where does the Trump economy rank? There are many different […]
Orders for durable goods increased for the fifth straight month, up 1.9 percent to $237.1 billion and surpassing expectations. Transportation orders led the increase with a 4.1 percent gain. Automotive orders rose 1.5 percent in September on continued strong sales for SUV’s and light trucks. The commercial airline industry, showing losses through the pandemic, had […]